SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 48.78%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 26.49% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.47%) and 0-2 (8.44%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Le Havre | Draw | Auxerre |
26.49% ( 1.13) | 24.73% ( 0.54) | 48.78% ( -1.67) |
| Both teams to score 54.03% ( -0.71) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.54% ( -1.43) | 48.46% ( 1.43) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.4% ( -1.32) | 70.59% ( 1.32) |
| Le Havre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.46% ( 0.15) | 32.54% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.93% ( 0.17) | 69.07% ( -0.17) |
| Auxerre Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.09% ( -1.23) | 19.9% ( 1.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.96% ( -2.03) | 52.04% ( 2.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Le Havre | Draw | Auxerre |
| 1-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.45) 2-1 @ 6.59% ( 0.19)2-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.27)3-1 @ 2.47% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.53% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.56% Total : 26.49% | 1-1 @ 11.73% ( 0.28) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.37)2-2 @ 5.32% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.73% | 0-1 @ 10.45% ( 0.21) 1-2 @ 9.47% ( -0.14)0-2 @ 8.44% ( -0.16)1-3 @ 5.1% ( -0.28)0-3 @ 4.54% ( -0.27)2-3 @ 2.86% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 2.06% ( -0.2)0-4 @ 1.83% ( -0.19)2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.11)Other @ 2.87% Total : 48.77% |
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