Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Auxerre win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 31.27% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for an Auxerre win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (8.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Auxerre would win this match.
