While the visitors have struggled in their away matches this season, we believe that the added incentive of possible qualification for European football next season will help them get over the line with a victory here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Le Havre had a probability of 31.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.63%). The likeliest Le Havre win was 1-0 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Marseille in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Marseille.
-0.55) 
0.33) 
