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Serie A | Gameweek 21
Jan 21, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
JL

Lecce
0 - 3
Juventus


Kaba (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Vlahovic (59', 68'), Bremer (85')
McKennie (23')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Lecce
Sunday, January 14 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 3-0 Sassuolo
Tuesday, January 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 0-2 Juventus

Momentum is gathering behind Juve's title push, and they can take advantage of Inter's absence by racking up a seventh straight victory. Juve's front line is suddenly bursting with confidence, while they remain rock-solid at the back; Lecce surely cannot keep them at bay for 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 46.76%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 26.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9%) and 1-2 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.63%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (8.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Juventus would win this match.

Result
LecceDrawJuventus
26.44% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02) 26.81% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 46.76% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Both teams to score 47.76% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.37% (0.029999999999994 0.03)56.64% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.4% (0.023 0.02)77.6% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)36.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.24% (0.0030000000000001 0)73.77% (-0.0020000000000095 -0)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.78% (0.025999999999996 0.03)24.22% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.44% (0.039999999999999 0.04)58.56% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 26.44%
    Juventus 46.75%
    Draw 26.81%
LecceDrawJuventus
1-0 @ 8.91% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 6.29% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-0 @ 4.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 2.08% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 1.47% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.78%
Total : 26.44%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 8.96% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 26.81%
0-1 @ 12.69% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 9% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 8.96% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-3 @ 4.26% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 4.23% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 2.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-4 @ 1.51% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-4 @ 1.5% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 46.75%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Lecce
Sunday, January 14 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 1-1 Cagliari
Saturday, January 6 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 1-0 Lecce
Saturday, December 30 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Lecce
Saturday, December 23 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 2-1 Frosinone
Saturday, December 16 at 2pm in Serie A
Last Game: Empoli 1-1 Lecce
Monday, December 11 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 3-0 Sassuolo
Tuesday, January 16 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 4-0 Frosinone
Thursday, January 11 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Salernitana 1-2 Juventus
Sunday, January 7 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 6-1 Salernitana
Thursday, January 4 at 8pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: Juventus 1-0 Roma
Saturday, December 30 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Frosinone 1-2 Juventus
Saturday, December 23 at 11.30am in Serie A


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