Only Lazio have kept more clean sheets than Juve's six in Serie A this season; Lecce are one of two sides yet to post a single shutout. Therefore, even if the visitors experience a Champions League hangover, they can score at least once at Via del Mare - if only from a set piece.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 39.54%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.57%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Juventus win was 0-1 (8.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Juventus in this match.
-0.13) 
0.16) 
