Battling for their lives at the bottom end of the table, Lecce are expected to put up a decent fight on Friday, but Udinese should have enough quality to inflict an eighth defeat in nine matches on the relegation strugglers.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.2%. A win for Udinese had a probability of 31.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Udinese win was 0-1 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lecce in this match.
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