SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 37.58%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 36.8% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Udinese would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Udinese | Draw | AC Milan |
37.58% ( 0.12) | 25.61% ( 0.03) | 36.8% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 55.59% ( -0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.55% ( -0.15) | 48.45% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.42% ( -0.14) | 70.58% ( 0.14) |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.77% ( -0) | 25.22% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.03% ( -0.01) | 59.97% ( 0.01) |
| AC Milan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.34% ( -0.16) | 25.66% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.43% ( -0.22) | 60.56% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Udinese | Draw | AC Milan |
| 1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.14% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 3.83% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.82% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.32% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.97% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.58% | 1-1 @ 12.12% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.68% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.6% | 0-1 @ 8.8% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.25% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.74% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.54% Total : 36.8% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
