Lecce and Sampdoria have had fewer shots than any other Serie A sides this season, but at least Samp have started to find the net regularly in recent weeks. They can therefore edge a high-stakes encounter; consigning their hosts to a seventh straight defeat and keeping their own paper-thin survival dreams alive.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 50.97%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 23.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.92%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.19%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
0.02) 
-0.01) 
