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UL
Serie A | Gameweek 37
Jul 29, 2020 at 6.30pm UK
Dacia Arena
LL

Udinese
1 - 2
Lecce

Samir (36')
Sema (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mancosu (40' pen.), Lapadula (81')
Paz (22'), Calderoni (45+1'), Lapadula (82'), Donati (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 46%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 28.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.82%). The likeliest Lecce win was 0-1 (7.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
UdineseDrawLecce
46%25.05%28.94%
Both teams to score 54.86%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.76%48.24%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.61%70.39%
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79%21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.23%53.78%
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.44%30.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.21%66.79%
Score Analysis
    Udinese 46%
    Lecce 28.94%
    Draw 25.05%
UdineseDrawLecce
1-0 @ 10.01%
2-1 @ 9.27%
2-0 @ 7.82%
3-1 @ 4.82%
3-0 @ 4.07%
3-2 @ 2.86%
4-1 @ 1.88%
4-0 @ 1.59%
4-2 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 46%
1-1 @ 11.87%
0-0 @ 6.42%
2-2 @ 5.49%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 7.61%
1-2 @ 7.04%
0-2 @ 4.51%
1-3 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 2.17%
0-3 @ 1.78%
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 28.94%


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