SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 54.82%. A win for Kauno Zalgiris had a probability of 22.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.65%). The likeliest Kauno Zalgiris win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lech Poznan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Kauno Zalgiris |
54.82% ( 0.06) | 22.43% ( -0.02) | 22.75% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 57.61% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.17% ( 0.03) | 41.83% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.76% ( 0.03) | 64.24% ( -0.03) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.81% ( 0.03) | 15.19% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.19% ( 0.06) | 43.81% ( -0.05) |
| Kauno Zalgiris Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.93% ( -0.02) | 32.07% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.45% ( -0.02) | 68.55% ( 0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Kauno Zalgiris |
| 2-1 @ 9.84% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.18% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.44% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 3.51% ( 0)4-1 @ 2.91% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.56% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.66% ( 0)5-1 @ 1.1% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 54.82% | 1-1 @ 10.44% 2-2 @ 5.59% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.87% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.33% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.43% | 1-2 @ 5.94% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.15% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 2.25% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 22.75% |
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