SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lech Poznan win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Piast Gliwice had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lech Poznan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Piast Gliwice win was 0-1 (8.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Piast Gliwice |
43.06% ( -0.16) | 25.86% ( 0.04) | 31.08% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 53.42% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.35% ( -0.11) | 50.65% ( 0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.44% ( -0.09) | 72.55% ( 0.09) |
| Lech Poznan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.61% ( -0.13) | 23.39% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.63% ( -0.18) | 57.36% ( 0.18) |
| Piast Gliwice Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.72% ( 0.03) | 30.28% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.55% ( 0.04) | 66.45% ( -0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lech Poznan | Draw | Piast Gliwice |
| 1-0 @ 10.28% 2-1 @ 8.93% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 7.48% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.62% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.58% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.32% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.01% Total : 43.05% | 1-1 @ 12.29% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 5.34% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.85% | 0-1 @ 8.46% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.05% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.17% Total : 31.08% |
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