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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa Under-21s win with a probability of 45.87%. A win for Leeds United Under-21s had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa Under-21s win was 1-2 with a probability of 6.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-3 (5.63%) and 1-3 (5.4%). The likeliest Leeds United Under-21s win was 2-1 (5.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
34.83% ( 0.01) | 19.3% ( -0) | 45.87% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 79.55% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 82.36% ( 0) | 17.63% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 65.36% ( 0.01) | 34.64% ( -0.01) |
| Leeds United Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.59% ( 0) | 12.41% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.69% ( 0.01) | 38.31% ( -0.02) |
| Aston Villa Under-21s Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.83% ( -0) | 9.17% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.91% ( -0) | 31.08% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United Under-21s | Draw | Aston Villa Under-21s |
| 2-1 @ 5.92% 3-2 @ 4.92% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.12% ( 0)4-2 @ 2.57% ( 0)2-0 @ 2.48% 1-0 @ 2.38% 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0)4-3 @ 2.04% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.72% 5-2 @ 1.07% ( 0)Other @ 5.47% Total : 34.83% | 2-2 @ 7.07% 1-1 @ 5.67% ( -0)3-3 @ 3.92% ( 0)4-4 @ 1.22% 0-0 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 19.3% | 1-2 @ 6.78% ( -0) 2-3 @ 5.63% 1-3 @ 5.4% ( -0)2-4 @ 3.36% 0-2 @ 3.25% ( -0)1-4 @ 3.22% ( -0)0-1 @ 2.72% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.59% ( -0)3-4 @ 2.34% 2-5 @ 1.61% 0-4 @ 1.55% ( -0)1-5 @ 1.54% ( -0)3-5 @ 1.12% Other @ 4.77% Total : 45.87% |
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