SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 52.52%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 23.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.76%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (6.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Coventry City |
52.52% ( 0.71) | 23.49% ( -0.06) | 23.99% ( -0.65) |
| Both teams to score 55.57% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.75% ( -0.35) | 45.25% ( 0.35) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.41% ( -0.33) | 67.59% ( 0.33) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.78% ( 0.14) | 17.21% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.5% ( 0.24) | 47.5% ( -0.24) |
| Coventry City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.12% ( -0.74) | 32.88% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.55% ( -0.83) | 69.45% ( 0.83) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Coventry City |
| 1-0 @ 9.96% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.21)3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 5.14% ( 0.14)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 2.26% ( 0.07)4-2 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.86% Total : 52.52% | 1-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.48% | 0-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.13)0-2 @ 3.5% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.29% ( -0.09)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.43% Total : 23.99% |
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