Saturday's game promises to be an intriguing one in South Wales with both sides desperate to bounce back to winning ways. Even without Rodon and James, Leeds United have the quality to outclass their hosts, and we back them to return to Yorkshire with all three points and compound the hosts' early-season struggles. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 56.14%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.89%) and 0-2 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.69%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-0 (5.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Leeds United in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Leeds United
21.21% ( -0)	22.65%	56.14% ( 0)

Both teams to score 54.7% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.33% (

-0)

44.68% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.96% (

-0)

67.04% (

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.91% (

-0)

35.09% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.16% (

-0)

71.84% (

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.27% (

15.74% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.17% (

44.83% (

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 21.21%

Leeds United 56.14%

Draw 22.65%

Cardiff City	Draw	Leeds United
1-0 @ 5.78% 2-1 @ 5.6% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.03% 3-1 @ 1.96% 3-2 @ 1.81% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.98% Total : 21.21%	1-1 @ 10.69% 0-0 @ 5.52% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.18% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.15% Total : 22.65%	0-1 @ 10.21% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.89% 0-2 @ 9.44% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.1% 0-3 @ 5.82% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.19% 1-4 @ 2.82% 0-4 @ 2.69% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.48% 1-5 @ 1.04% 0-5 @ 1% Other @ 2.47% Total : 56.14%