SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 67.34%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 14.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.76%) and 1-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.51%), while for a Burnley win it was 1-2 (4.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Burnley |
67.34% ( 0.83) | 18.37% ( -0.29) | 14.29% ( -0.55) |
| Both teams to score 55.43% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.08% ( 0.13) | 36.92% ( -0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.9% ( 0.14) | 59.1% ( -0.14) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.91% ( 0.24) | 10.09% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 66.76% ( 0.55) | 33.24% ( -0.55) |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.65% ( -0.65) | 38.35% ( 0.65) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.9% ( -0.63) | 75.1% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Burnley |
| 2-0 @ 10.17% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.19)3-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 4.46% ( 0.15)4-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.07)3-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0)5-0 @ 2.05% ( 0.09)5-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.05)5-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.99% Total : 67.33% | 1-1 @ 8.51% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 3.87% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.17% Total : 18.37% | 1-2 @ 4.08% ( -0.13) 0-1 @ 3.71% ( -0.09)0-2 @ 1.78% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.93% Total : 14.29% |
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