Watford have been formidable at Vicarage Road so far this season, winning four straight matches across all competitions by an aggregate scoreline of 12-1.
As a result, the Hornets should be extremely confident of dealing with the threat of Coventry this weekend, so we are expecting a narrow win for the hosts.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
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