SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 52.66%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 25.32% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (6.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Liverpool |
25.32% ( 3.63) | 22.02% ( 1.39) | 52.66% ( -5.02) |
| Both teams to score 62.22% ( -0.38) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.86% ( -2.53) | 37.14% ( 2.53) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.66% ( -2.79) | 59.33% ( 2.79) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.57% ( 1.51) | 27.42% ( -1.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.1% ( 1.91) | 62.9% ( -1.9) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.74% ( -2.35) | 14.26% ( 2.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 57.96% ( -4.77) | 42.04% ( 4.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Liverpool |
| 2-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.73) 1-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.78)2-0 @ 3.27% ( 0.62)3-1 @ 2.75% ( 0.42)3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.2)3-0 @ 1.41% ( 0.32)Other @ 3.77% Total : 25.32% | 1-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.76) 2-2 @ 6.21% ( 0.21)0-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.46)3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.02% | 1-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.29)0-2 @ 7.42% ( -0.38)1-3 @ 6.23% ( -0.63)0-3 @ 4.82% ( -0.72)2-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.22)1-4 @ 3.03% ( -0.62)0-4 @ 2.35% ( -0.6)2-4 @ 1.96% ( -0.3)1-5 @ 1.18% ( -0.37)0-5 @ 0.91% ( -0.34)Other @ 3.52% Total : 52.66% |
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