SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 58.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Leeds United had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%), while for a Leeds United win it was 0-1 (5.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Chelsea in this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelsea | Draw | Leeds United |
58.75% ( 0.16) | 22.3% ( -0.11) | 18.95% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 52.19% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.78% ( 0.4) | 46.22% ( -0.41) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.49% ( 0.38) | 68.51% ( -0.38) |
| Chelsea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.6% ( 0.19) | 15.39% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.8% ( 0.36) | 44.2% ( -0.36) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.69% ( 0.18) | 38.31% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.93% ( 0.17) | 75.06% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Chelsea | Draw | Leeds United |
| 1-0 @ 11.03% ( -0.12) 2-0 @ 10.32% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.91% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 6.18% ( 0.05)4-0 @ 3.01% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.96% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 2.89% ( 0.04)4-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)5-0 @ 1.13% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 1.08% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.4% Total : 58.74% | 1-1 @ 10.58% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.1)2-2 @ 4.75% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.11% Total : 22.29% | 0-1 @ 5.66% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 5.08% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.35% Total : 18.95% |
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