Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Leeds United | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
25.8% ( 0.42) | 22.98% ( 0.17) | 51.21% ( -0.59) |
Both teams to score 59.26% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.73% ( -0.41) | 41.26% ( 0.41) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.34% ( -0.42) | 63.66% ( 0.42) |
Leeds United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.73% ( 0.1) | 29.26% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.77% ( 0.13) | 65.22% ( -0.13) |
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.77% ( -0.36) | 16.22% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.27% ( -0.65) | 45.73% ( 0.65) |
Score Analysis |
Leeds United | Draw | Brighton & Hove Albion |
2-1 @ 6.52% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.12) 2-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 1.47% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.3% Total : 25.8% | 1-1 @ 10.61% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.75% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 22.98% | 1-2 @ 9.65% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.64% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.85% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.85% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 4.76% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 3.59% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.66% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 2.16% ( -0.07) 2-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.04) 1-5 @ 0.97% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.45% Total : 51.22% |
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