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Premier League | Gameweek 27
Mar 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Elland Road
BL

Leeds
2 - 2
Brighton

Bamford (40'), Harrison (78')
Firpo (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Mac Allister (33'), March (61')
Caicedo (83')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brighton & Hove Albion win with a probability of 51.21%. A win for Leeds United had a probability of 25.8% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Leeds United win was 2-1 (6.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
25.8% (0.417 0.42) 22.98% (0.173 0.17) 51.21% (-0.59 -0.59)
Both teams to score 59.26% (-0.16699999999999 -0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.73% (-0.41200000000001 -0.41)41.26% (0.411 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.34% (-0.419 -0.42)63.66% (0.418 0.42)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.73% (0.101 0.1)29.26% (-0.103 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.77% (0.125 0.13)65.22% (-0.127 -0.13)
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.77% (-0.35600000000001 -0.36)16.22% (0.355 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.27% (-0.65199999999999 -0.65)45.73% (0.651 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 25.8%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 51.22%
    Draw 22.98%
Leeds UnitedDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 6.52% (0.079 0.08)
1-0 @ 5.83% (0.124 0.12)
2-0 @ 3.58% (0.086 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.67% (0.04 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.43% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.47% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 25.8%
1-1 @ 10.61% (0.1 0.1)
2-2 @ 5.93% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 4.75% (0.088 0.09)
3-3 @ 1.47% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 22.98%
1-2 @ 9.65% (-0.026000000000002 -0.03)
0-1 @ 8.64% (0.057 0.06)
0-2 @ 7.85% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-3 @ 5.85% (-0.087 -0.09)
0-3 @ 4.76% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-3 @ 3.59% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.66% (-0.073 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.16% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-4 @ 1.63% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-5 @ 0.97% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 51.22%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Chelsea 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Fulham 2-0 Leeds
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Leeds 1-0 Southampton
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Everton 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Leeds 0-2 Man Utd
Sunday, February 12 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Man Utd 2-2 Leeds
Wednesday, February 8 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 4-0 West Ham
Saturday, March 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Brighton
Tuesday, February 28 at 7.15pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Brighton 0-1 Fulham
Saturday, February 18 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Crystal Palace 1-1 Brighton
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 1-0 Bournemouth
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Brighton 2-1 Liverpool
Sunday, January 29 at 1.30pm in FA Cup


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