SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 52.39%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 25.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.15%) and 2-0 (7.71%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leeds United | Draw | Swansea City |
52.39% ( -0.54) | 22.41% ( 0.68) | 25.2% ( -0.15) |
| Both teams to score 60.66% ( -2.66) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.87% ( -3.42) | 39.13% ( 3.42) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.54% ( -3.68) | 61.46% ( 3.68) |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.94% ( -1.37) | 15.05% ( 1.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.44% ( -2.66) | 43.55% ( 2.65) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.41% ( -1.94) | 28.58% ( 1.94) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.62% ( -2.5) | 64.38% ( 2.5) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leeds United | Draw | Swansea City |
| 2-1 @ 9.66% ( 0.12) 1-0 @ 8.15% ( 0.9)2-0 @ 7.71% ( 0.5)3-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.23)3-0 @ 4.87% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.36)4-1 @ 2.89% ( -0.26)4-0 @ 2.31% ( -0.07)4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.27)5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0.16)Other @ 3.99% Total : 52.39% | 1-1 @ 10.2% ( 0.61) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.26)0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.66)3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.25)Other @ 0.26% Total : 22.4% | 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 5.39% ( 0.57)0-2 @ 3.37% ( 0.19)1-3 @ 2.67% ( -0.13)2-3 @ 2.53% ( -0.26)0-3 @ 1.41% ( 0)Other @ 3.45% Total : 25.2% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
