SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 39.66%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.23%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 2-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Sunderland |
36.42% ( 0.02) | 23.91% ( -0) | 39.66% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 61.74% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.51% ( 0.02) | 40.49% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.13% ( 0.02) | 62.86% ( -0.03) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.77% ( 0.02) | 22.22% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.35% ( 0.03) | 55.64% ( -0.03) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.37% | 20.62% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.81% ( 0) | 53.18% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Sunderland |
| 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 0) 1-0 @ 6.89% ( -0)2-0 @ 5.18% ( 0)3-1 @ 4.1% ( 0)3-2 @ 3.24% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.6% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0)4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0)Other @ 2.48% Total : 36.42% | 1-1 @ 10.88% 2-2 @ 6.46% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.58% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.71% ( 0)Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.91% | 1-2 @ 8.59% ( -0) 0-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.52% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.4% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.01% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.78% 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0)Other @ 2.89% Total : 39.66% |
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