SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 49.94%. A win for Reims had a probability of 25.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.73%). The likeliest Reims win was 0-1 (7.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.68%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Reims |
49.94% ( -0.45) | 24.6% ( 0.16) | 25.45% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 53.51% ( -0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.29% ( -0.44) | 48.71% ( 0.44) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.18% ( -0.4) | 70.82% ( 0.39) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.47% ( -0.35) | 19.53% ( 0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.57% ( -0.58) | 51.42% ( 0.57) |
| Reims Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.49% | 33.51% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.85% ( -0) | 70.15% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Reims |
| 1-0 @ 10.68% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.73% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 5.2% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 4.75% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.84% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 2.12% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.97% Total : 49.93% | 1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 5.22% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.6% | 0-1 @ 7.15% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 6.39% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 3.91% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.35% Total : 25.45% |
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