SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 46.91%. A win for Marseille had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Marseille win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lens in this match.
| Result | ||
| Lens | Draw | Marseille |
46.91% ( -0.04) | 25.21% ( -0.1) | 27.88% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 53.61% ( 0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.47% ( 0.49) | 49.53% ( -0.49) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.44% ( 0.44) | 71.56% ( -0.44) |
| Lens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.87% ( 0.19) | 21.13% ( -0.18) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.02% ( 0.29) | 53.98% ( -0.29) |
| Marseille Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.98% ( 0.36) | 32.02% ( -0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.52% ( 0.41) | 68.48% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lens | Draw | Marseille |
| 1-0 @ 10.51% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 8.17% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 4.82% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.24% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0)4-2 @ 1.07% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.52% Total : 46.91% | 1-1 @ 11.97% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.14)2-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.06)3-3 @ 1.04% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.82% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 4.39% 1-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.7% Total : 27.88% |
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