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Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 29, 2023 at 8pm UK
Emirates Stadium
LL

Arsenal
6 - 0
Lens

Havertz (13'), Jesus (21'), Saka (23'), Martinelli (27'), Odegaard (45+1'), Jorginho (86' pen.)
FT(HT: 5-0)

Mendy (41'), Khusanov (63'), Haidara (64')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brentford 0-1 Arsenal
Saturday, November 25 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Clermont 0-3 Lens
Saturday, November 25 at 4pm in Ligue 1

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 51.87%. A win for Lens had a probability of 24.59% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.71%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest Lens win was 0-1 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.

Result
ArsenalDrawLens
51.87% (0.027000000000001 0.03) 23.54% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 24.59% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.09% (0.012 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.12% (0.018999999999998 0.02)44.88% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.76% (0.019000000000005 0.02)67.24% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.68% (0.019000000000005 0.02)17.32% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.31% (0.030000000000001 0.03)47.69% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Lens Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.84%32.16% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)68.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Arsenal 51.87%
    Lens 24.59%
    Draw 23.53%
ArsenalDrawLens
1-0 @ 9.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 8.56% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 5.68% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 5% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.22% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 2.19% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 1.41% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 51.87%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.57% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-2 @ 5.51%
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.53%
0-1 @ 6.32% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 6.28% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.58% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.08%
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 24.59%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Brentford 0-1 Arsenal
Saturday, November 25 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 3-1 Burnley
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-0 Sevilla
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Newcastle 1-0 Arsenal
Saturday, November 4 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: West Ham 3-1 Arsenal
Wednesday, November 1 at 7.30pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Arsenal 5-0 Sheff Utd
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Premier League
Last Game: Clermont 0-3 Lens
Saturday, November 25 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 1-0 Marseille
Sunday, November 12 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSV 1-0 Lens
Wednesday, November 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Lorient 0-0 Lens
Saturday, November 4 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 4-0 Nantes
Saturday, October 28 at 8pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Lens 1-1 PSV
Tuesday, October 24 at 8pm in Champions League


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