SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gent win with a probability of 53.15%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 24.25% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gent win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.76%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Leuven win was 2-1 (6.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | Gent |
24.25% ( -0.27) | 22.61% ( -0.01) | 53.15% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 58.89% ( -0.3) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59% ( -0.26) | 41% ( 0.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.61% ( -0.26) | 63.39% ( 0.26) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.65% ( -0.36) | 30.35% ( 0.36) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.46% ( -0.43) | 66.54% ( 0.43) |
| Gent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.54% ( 0) | 15.46% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.68% ( 0.01) | 44.32% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leuven | Draw | Gent |
| 2-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.34% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.48% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.04)3-0 @ 1.33% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.98% Total : 24.25% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.05)3-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.22% Total : 22.6% | 1-2 @ 9.75% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 8.18% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 6.07% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 5.09% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 3.62% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 2.83% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 2.38% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.06% ( 0)Other @ 3.73% Total : 53.15% |
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