SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mechelen win with a probability of 39.98%. A win for Leuven had a probability of 35.05% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mechelen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Leuven win was 2-1 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mechelen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Leuven | Draw | Mechelen |
35.05% ( -0.11) | 24.97% ( 0.02) | 39.98% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 57.66% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.31% ( -0.09) | 45.69% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.99% ( -0.08) | 68.01% ( 0.08) |
| Leuven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.63% ( -0.11) | 25.37% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.83% ( -0.14) | 60.16% ( 0.14) |
| Mechelen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.26% ( 0.01) | 22.73% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.59% ( 0.02) | 56.41% ( -0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Leuven | Draw | Mechelen |
| 2-1 @ 8.04% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.91% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.61% Total : 35.05% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.96% | 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.54% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.33% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.94% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.59% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 39.98% |
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