Having put together a two-game unbeaten run, Clermont are taking confidence into their trip to Stade Pierre-Mauroy. However, we can only back the home side to come out on top, perhaps through a goal in each half.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 67.99%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Clermont had a probability of 12.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.67%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Clermont win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.
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