SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 56.82%. A win for Kristiansund had a probability of 22.25% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.79%) and 1-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Kristiansund win was 1-2 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lillestrom | Draw | Kristiansund |
56.82% ( -0.02) | 20.92% ( -0.02) | 22.25% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 62.35% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.71% ( 0.1) | 35.29% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.69% ( 0.12) | 57.31% ( -0.12) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.62% ( 0.03) | 12.38% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.76% ( 0.06) | 38.24% ( -0.06) |
| Kristiansund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.16% ( 0.09) | 28.84% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.3% ( 0.11) | 64.7% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lillestrom | Draw | Kristiansund |
| 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.79% ( -0.03)1-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.75% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.83% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.19% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.47% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.18% 5-2 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)4-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.49% Total : 56.82% | 1-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 20.92% | 1-2 @ 5.77% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 2.76% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0)Other @ 3.26% Total : 22.25% |
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