SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lillestrom win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Molde had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lillestrom win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.08%) and 2-0 (5.8%). The likeliest Molde win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lillestrom | Draw | Molde |
41.09% ( 0.41) | 23.61% ( -0.01) | 35.29% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 62.66% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.79% ( -0.04) | 39.21% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.46% ( -0.03) | 61.54% ( 0.03) |
| Lillestrom Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.57% ( 0.17) | 19.43% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.74% ( 0.28) | 51.26% ( -0.28) |
| Molde Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.77% ( -0.23) | 22.23% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.34% ( -0.34) | 55.66% ( 0.34) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lillestrom | Draw | Molde |
| 2-1 @ 8.72% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.08% ( 0.05)2-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.76% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.17% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.28% Total : 41.09% | 1-1 @ 10.64% 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.79% ( -0)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.61% | 1-2 @ 8% ( -0.05) 0-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 4.01% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 3.29% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.05)1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.03)2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.51% Total : 35.29% |
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