Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 55.89%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Larne had a probability of 20.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.94%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.05%), while for a Larne win it was 0-1 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.