Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Linfield win with a probability of 49.93%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Larne had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Linfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.8%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.35%), while for a Larne win it was 0-1 (8.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.
0.04) 
-0.04) 
