SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Larne win with a probability of 51.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Linfield had a probability of 23.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Larne win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.95%), while for a Linfield win it was 0-1 (7.54%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Larne | Draw | Linfield |
51.51% ( 0.09) | 25.17% ( 0.02) | 23.31% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 49.56% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.17% ( -0.18) | 52.82% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.55% ( -0.15) | 74.44% ( 0.15) |
| Larne Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.49% ( -0.03) | 20.51% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.99% ( -0.05) | 53% ( 0.05) |
| Linfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.35% ( -0.2) | 37.65% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.57% ( -0.2) | 74.42% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Larne | Draw | Linfield |
| 1-0 @ 12.23% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.12% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.59% Total : 51.51% | 1-1 @ 11.95% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 4.62% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.88% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 7.54% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.84% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.64% Total : 23.32% |
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