SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 45.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 26.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Cerro |
45.78% ( 0.07) | 27.89% ( -0.07) | 26.33% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 44.74% ( 0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.54% ( 0.23) | 60.46% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.41% ( 0.18) | 80.58% ( -0.18) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.58% ( 0.14) | 26.42% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.41% ( 0.19) | 61.58% ( -0.19) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.81% ( 0.13) | 39.19% ( -0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.1% ( 0.13) | 75.9% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Cerro |
| 1-0 @ 13.78% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.95% Total : 45.78% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.03)Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.89% | 0-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.47% Total : 26.33% |
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