SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boston River win with a probability of 38.64%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 32.9% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boston River win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Cerro win was 0-1 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boston River would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boston River | Draw | Cerro |
38.64% ( 0.58) | 28.46% ( -0.02) | 32.9% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 46.14% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.85% ( -0.01) | 60.15% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.65% ( -0) | 80.35% |
| Boston River Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.81% ( 0.34) | 30.19% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.65% ( 0.41) | 66.34% ( -0.42) |
| Cerro Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.1% ( -0.39) | 33.9% ( 0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.43% ( -0.43) | 70.57% ( 0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston River | Draw | Cerro |
| 1-0 @ 12.25% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.94% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 3.17% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.93% ( 0.08)3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.34% Total : 38.64% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 10.23% 2-2 @ 4.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.67% Total : 28.45% | 0-1 @ 11.07% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.17% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.99% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 2.16% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.37% Total : 32.9% |
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