Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 45.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Cerro had a probability of 26.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.17%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Cerro win it was 0-1 (9.7%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Liverpool | Draw | Cerro |
45.78% ( 0.07) | 27.89% ( -0.07) | 26.33% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 44.74% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
39.54% ( 0.23) | 60.46% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
19.41% ( 0.18) | 80.58% ( -0.18) |
Liverpool Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.58% ( 0.14) | 26.42% ( -0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.41% ( 0.19) | 61.58% ( -0.19) |
Cerro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.81% ( 0.13) | 39.19% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.1% ( 0.13) | 75.9% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
Liverpool | Draw | Cerro |
1-0 @ 13.78% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.59% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.07% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.95% Total : 45.78% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.89% | 0-1 @ 9.7% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.05% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.47% Total : 26.33% |
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