Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 38.11%. A win for Cerro had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (7.05%). The likeliest Cerro win was 1-0 (10.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.
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