Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Racing de Montevideo had a probability of 35.53% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.8%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 (11.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.
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