SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 38.68%. A win for Montevideo City Torque had a probability of 33.32% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.06%) and 0-2 (7.22%). The likeliest Montevideo City Torque win was 1-0 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Racing de Montevideo would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
33.32% ( 0.01) | 28% | 38.68% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 47.54% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.54% ( 0.01) | 58.46% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.95% ( 0) | 79.05% |
| Montevideo City Torque Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.27% ( 0.01) | 32.72% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.72% ( 0.01) | 69.28% ( -0.01) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.66% | 29.34% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.69% ( -0) | 65.31% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Montevideo City Torque | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
| 1-0 @ 10.72% 2-1 @ 7.35% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.99% ( 0)3-1 @ 2.74% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.23% ( 0)3-2 @ 1.68% Other @ 2.62% Total : 33.32% | 1-1 @ 13.15% 0-0 @ 9.6% ( -0)2-2 @ 4.5% ( 0)Other @ 0.75% Total : 28% | 0-1 @ 11.77% 1-2 @ 8.06% 0-2 @ 7.22% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.3% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.95% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.84% 1-4 @ 1.01% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.62% Total : 38.67% |
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