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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 44.09%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Plaza Colonia had a probability of 27.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 2-1 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Plaza Colonia win it was 0-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
44.09% ( 0.98) | 28.57% ( -0.03) | 27.34% ( -0.95) |
| Both teams to score 43.66% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 37.83% ( -0.28) | 62.17% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.14% ( -0.21) | 81.86% ( 0.21) |
| Racing de Montevideo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.9% ( 0.39) | 28.1% ( -0.39) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.23% ( 0.49) | 63.77% ( -0.49) |
| Plaza Colonia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.72% ( -0.95) | 39.28% ( 0.95) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.02% ( -0.9) | 75.98% ( 0.9) |
| Score Analysis |
| Racing de Montevideo | Draw | Plaza Colonia |
| 1-0 @ 14.01% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.29)2-1 @ 8.31% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.16)3-1 @ 3.52% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.12% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.65% Total : 44.09% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 11.03% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 3.88% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.56% | 0-1 @ 10.31% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 6.12% ( -0.19)0-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.2)1-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.11)0-3 @ 1.5% ( -0.1)2-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.47% Total : 27.34% |
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