Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Racing de Montevideo win with a probability of 47.67%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Cerro Largo had a probability of 24.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Racing de Montevideo win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.84%) and 1-2 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Cerro Largo win it was 1-0 (9.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cerro Largo | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
24.34% ( -0.04) | 27.98% ( 0) | 47.67% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 42.97% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.09% ( -0.04) | 61.91% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.33% ( -0.03) | 81.67% ( 0.03) |
Cerro Largo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.19% ( -0.06) | 41.81% ( 0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.73% ( -0.06) | 78.27% ( 0.05) |
Racing de Montevideo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.85% | 26.15% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.77% ( 0) | 61.22% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Cerro Largo | Draw | Racing de Montevideo |
1-0 @ 9.53% ( -0) 2-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 1.16% Total : 24.34% | 1-1 @ 12.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.93% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.52% Total : 27.97% | 0-1 @ 14.66% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 9.84% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.58% ( -0) 0-3 @ 4.4% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.84% 2-3 @ 1.67% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.48% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.29% Other @ 1.93% Total : 47.66% |
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