SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 71.16%. A draw had a probability of 16.6% and a win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 12.28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 3-0 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for a Nottingham Forest win it was 1-2 (3.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Liverpool | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
71.16% ( -0.15) | 16.55% ( 0.06) | 12.28% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 56.31% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.02% ( -0.01) | 32.98% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.3% ( -0.01) | 54.7% ( 0) |
| Liverpool Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.8% ( -0.03) | 8.19% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 71.3% ( -0.09) | 28.69% ( 0.08) |
| Nottingham Forest Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.34% ( 0.15) | 38.66% ( -0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.6% ( 0.14) | 75.4% ( -0.15) |
| Score Analysis |
| Liverpool | Draw | Nottingham Forest |
| 2-0 @ 9.91% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.27% ( -0.04)1-0 @ 7.92% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 7.86% ( -0)4-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 4.91% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.46% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.34% ( 0)5-2 @ 1.17% ( 0)6-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.3% Total : 71.16% | 1-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 3.17% 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 16.55% | 1-2 @ 3.58% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.13% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.71% Total : 12.28% |
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