SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 58.92%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 17.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.11%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 0-1 (6.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Greenock Morton |
58.92% ( -0.02) | 23.62% ( 0.02) | 17.46% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 45.61% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.36% ( -0.08) | 53.64% ( 0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.86% ( -0.07) | 75.13% ( 0.07) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.04% ( -0.04) | 17.95% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.21% ( -0.07) | 48.79% ( 0.07) |
| Greenock Morton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.59% ( -0.04) | 44.41% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.54% ( -0.04) | 80.45% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Greenock Morton |
| 1-0 @ 13.69% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.75% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.73% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.46% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 2.89% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 0.99% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.33% Total : 58.91% | 1-1 @ 11.11% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.97% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.66% Total : 23.61% | 0-1 @ 6.47% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.51% ( -0)0-2 @ 2.63% ( 0)1-3 @ 1.22% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0)Other @ 1.58% Total : 17.46% |
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