Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 36.89%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 36.56% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.35%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 (9.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.62%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.
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