SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Livingston win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Hamilton Academical had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Livingston win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (6.43%). The likeliest Hamilton Academical win was 1-0 (9.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Livingston would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Livingston |
36.02% ( -0.19) | 26.32% ( -0.01) | 37.66% ( 0.19) |
| Both teams to score 53.14% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.45% ( 0.02) | 51.55% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.65% ( 0.02) | 73.35% ( -0.02) |
| Hamilton Academical Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.43% ( -0.1) | 27.57% ( 0.1) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.9% ( -0.13) | 63.1% ( 0.13) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.38% ( 0.12) | 26.62% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.15% ( 0.16) | 61.85% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hamilton Academical | Draw | Livingston |
| 1-0 @ 9.46% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 8.06% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.09% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.46% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.12% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.92% Total : 36.02% | 1-1 @ 12.51% 0-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 9.72% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.25% Total : 37.66% |
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