Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Greenock Morton win with a probability of 63.54%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 16.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a Greenock Morton win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.69%) and 0-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.12%), while for a Cowdenbeath win it was 2-1 (4.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Greenock Morton would win this match.
Result | ||
Cowdenbeath | Draw | Greenock Morton |
16.74% ( -0.05) | 19.71% ( -0.06) | 63.54% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 56.63% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.77% ( 0.19) | 38.23% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.49% ( 0.2) | 60.5% ( -0.21) |
Cowdenbeath Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.94% ( 0.06) | 36.06% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.16% ( 0.06) | 72.84% ( -0.07) |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.56% ( 0.08) | 11.43% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.77% ( 0.18) | 36.23% ( -0.19) |
Score Analysis |
Cowdenbeath | Draw | Greenock Morton |
2-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.58% ( -0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 16.74% | 1-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 19.71% | 1-2 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 8.94% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 7.15% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 7.01% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 3.88% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 3.8% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.98% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.24% Total : 63.54% |
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