SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 42.53%. A win for Livingston had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (8.13%). The likeliest Livingston win was 1-0 (9.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Livingston | Draw | Kilmarnock |
29.77% ( -0.38) | 27.69% ( -0.11) | 42.53% ( 0.48) |
| Both teams to score 47.28% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.76% ( 0.23) | 58.24% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.12% ( 0.18) | 78.88% ( -0.19) |
| Livingston Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.83% ( -0.16) | 35.17% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.08% ( -0.17) | 71.92% ( 0.16) |
| Kilmarnock Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.92% ( 0.36) | 27.07% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.55% ( 0.48) | 62.45% ( -0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Livingston | Draw | Kilmarnock |
| 1-0 @ 9.95% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.05)2-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 1.55% ( -0)Other @ 2.11% Total : 29.77% | 1-1 @ 13% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.52% ( -0.09)2-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.73% Total : 27.69% | 0-1 @ 12.44% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 8.13% ( 0.1)1-3 @ 3.7% ( 0.07)0-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.93% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.03)0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.93% Total : 42.53% |
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