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Croatian 1. HNL | Gameweek 29
Apr 6, 2024 at 3.50pm UK
Stadion Kranjceviceva

NK Lokomotiva
1 - 1
Gorica

Les (29' og.)
Soticek (43'), Vranjkovic (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mitrovic (73')
Lazarov (64'), Les (75'), Majstorovic (86')
Majstorovic (87')
Coverage of the Croatian 1. HNL clash between NK Lokomotiva and Gorica.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Istra 1961 0-0 NK Lokomotiva
Friday, March 29 at 2.50pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 2-4 Gorica
Saturday, March 30 at 1.50pm in Croatian 1. HNL

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Lokomotiva win with a probability of 47%. A win for Gorica had a probability of 27.07% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a NK Lokomotiva win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Gorica win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
NK LokomotivaDrawGorica
47% (0.058 0.06) 25.93% (0.038999999999998 0.04) 27.07% (-0.093 -0.09)
Both teams to score 50.8% (-0.185 -0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.08% (-0.205 -0.2)52.92% (0.211 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.47% (-0.174 -0.17)74.53% (0.18000000000001 0.18)
NK Lokomotiva Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.5% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)22.5% (0.064 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.93% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)56.07% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Gorica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.55% (-0.185 -0.19)34.45% (0.19 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.84% (-0.199 -0.2)71.16% (0.20400000000001 0.2)
Score Analysis
    NK Lokomotiva 47%
    Gorica 27.07%
    Draw 25.92%
NK LokomotivaDrawGorica
1-0 @ 11.56% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.62% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 4.57% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.29% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.44% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.6% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.009 -0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 47%
1-1 @ 12.32% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 7.75% (0.064 0.06)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.92%
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.026 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.57% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 4.4% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.33% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.74% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.56% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 27.07%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-0 NK Lokomotiva
Friday, March 29 at 2.50pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Hajduk Split 1-2 NK Lokomotiva
Saturday, March 16 at 4.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 3-0 Rudes
Saturday, March 9 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Slaven Koprivnica 2-3 NK Lokomotiva
Saturday, March 2 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: NK Lokomotiva 1-1 Osijek
Friday, February 23 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rijeka 4-0 NK Lokomotiva
Saturday, February 17 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Varazdin 2-4 Gorica
Saturday, March 30 at 1.50pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Istra 1961 0-0 Gorica
Sunday, March 17 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 0-3 Hajduk Split
Saturday, March 9 at 4.10pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Rudes 2-1 Gorica
Monday, March 4 at 4pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Gorica 1-0 Slaven Koprivnica
Sunday, February 25 at 4.30pm in Croatian 1. HNL
Last Game: Osijek 3-0 Gorica
Sunday, February 18 at 2pm in Croatian 1. HNL


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