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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 71.08%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for San Jose Earthquakes had a probability of 12.97%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.45%) and 3-1 (8.05%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.83%), while for a San Jose Earthquakes win it was 1-2 (3.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 4-1 win for Los Angeles FC in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Los Angeles FC.
| Result | ||
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
71.08% ( 0.53) | 15.95% ( -0.17) | 12.97% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 61.24% ( -0.43) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.04% ( -0.04) | 27.96% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.31% ( -0.05) | 48.69% ( 0.05) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.01% ( 0.09) | 6.99% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 74.41% ( 0.25) | 25.6% ( -0.25) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.85% ( -0.53) | 34.15% ( 0.52) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.16% ( -0.57) | 70.85% ( 0.57) |
| Score Analysis |
| Los Angeles FC | Draw | San Jose Earthquakes |
| 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 8.05% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 7.49% ( 0.13)1-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 5.36% ( 0.04)4-0 @ 4.98% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 2.88% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 2.85% ( 0.04)5-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.07)5-2 @ 1.53% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.26% ( 0.02)6-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.04)4-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.61% Total : 71.08% | 1-1 @ 6.83% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 2.39% ( 0)3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.31% Total : 15.95% | 1-2 @ 3.67% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 2.57% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.04)1-3 @ 1.31% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.3% Total : 12.97% |
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