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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 40.37%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.6%) and 2-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
40.37% ( 0.13) | 26.33% ( -0.01) | 33.29% ( -0.12) |
| Both teams to score 52.65% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.01% ( 0.01) | 51.99% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.27% ( 0.01) | 73.73% ( -0.01) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.65% ( 0.07) | 25.34% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.87% ( 0.1) | 60.13% ( -0.1) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.52% ( -0.07) | 29.48% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.51% ( -0.09) | 65.49% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 1-0 @ 10.25% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.02)2-0 @ 7.04% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.22% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.35% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 40.37% | 1-1 @ 12.52% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( -0)2-2 @ 5.25% ( -0)3-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.33% | 0-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 5.57% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0)1-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.47% Total : 33.29% |
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