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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 38.66%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.17%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
| Result | ||
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
38.66% ( -0.04) | 25.69% ( -0.02) | 35.65% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 55.22% ( 0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.12% ( 0.11) | 48.88% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.02% ( 0.1) | 70.97% ( -0.1) |
| San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.15% ( 0.03) | 24.84% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.56% ( 0.04) | 59.44% ( -0.04) |
| Los Angeles FC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.47% ( 0.09) | 26.52% ( -0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.27% ( 0.12) | 61.72% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
| 1-0 @ 9.18% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.39% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 3.94% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0)4-2 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.78% Total : 38.66% | 1-1 @ 12.17% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.69% | 0-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.08% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.8% ( 0)1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.2% Total : 35.65% |
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